CAN THIS BE TRUE? – AT 11:56 A.M. ET: A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist poll shows Donald Trump demolishing Ted Cruz in Indiana on Tuesday, which would probably end Cruz's candidacy. But wait a minute! There's another poll in Indiana showing Cruz well ahead. Which do you believe? I'll tell you Tuesday night. From The Wall Street Journal:
Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead in the Republican presidential primary in Indiana, and a majority of GOP voters disapprove of the effort by underdogs Sen. Ted Cruz and Gov. John Kasich to coordinate a strategy to block him, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist Poll finds.
Hillary Clinton holds a narrow, 4-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic voters in Indiana, the poll found.
Ahead of the voting in Indiana on Tuesday, Mr. Trump is the first choice of 49% of likely GOP primary voters in the state, with 34% favoring Mr. Cruz and 13% for Mr. Kasich.
That gives Mr. Trump a substantial advantage in a state that Mr. Cruz says could be his last, best chance to stop the front-runner from clinching the GOP nomination before the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July.
And...
“After the Acela primary, there is an aura of inevitability surrounding the Trump and Clinton candidacies,” said Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.
In the Republican primary, it is still mathematically possible for Mr. Cruz, of Texas, and Mr. Kasich, of Ohio, to pick up enough delegates between now and the end of the primary season on June 7 to keep Mr. Trump from reaching the 1,237 needed to clinch the nomination. But the path to doing so narrows substantially if Mr. Trump sweeps Indiana and wins all of its 57 delegates.
COMMENT: Look, we'll see. There's nothing to comment on. If it's accurate, it will decide the Republican nominee. If not accurate, the race can go on.
On the Dem side, if accurate, it shows continued resistance to Hillary, but it may only be symbolic. She's getting the delegate numbers she needs to win the nomination. That's the nomination, not the presidency.
Trump and Hillary, the two most disliked probable nominees since McGovern and Nixon in 1972. Can't we do better?
May 1, 2016 |